Migration & Borders
Ceuta migrant surge fuelled by disinformation, analysts say
Online disinformation helped drive the July 30 mass entry of tens of thousands of migrants from Morocco into Spain's North African territory of Ceuta, analysts told AFP.
Official Spanish figures say 72,000 people entered Ceuta from Morocco, mostly by swimming around a barrier in the Mediterranean Sea. Spanish authorities said they had recovered the bodies of 78 migrants who drowned in the attempt, while Morocco said 11 people died on its side of the border.
A rumour that the Ceuta border was open spread on social media as people tried to reach Spain. A report by Chema Gil, a security and intelligence analyst at the University of Murcia, said an online campaign generated 11 million views from early July.
Technology company Golden Owl said an open-source investigation concluded with a high degree of confidence that the migrant rush was deliberately organised. Marcelino Madrigal, an expert in social media and security, told AFP there had been evidence it was going to happen, but said it was impossible to determine who or what started the spread.
Madrigal said the messages mainly appeared on Facebook and WhatsApp. Mohamed Benaissa, president of the Northern Observatory for Human Rights, said accounts spreading a false reading of a Spanish court ruling were unidentifiable and had almost no interactions, raising questions about possible mass-diffusion algorithms.
The Spanish government has singled out what it called a deliberate misinterpretation of a July Supreme Court ruling. Lawyers Antonio Benitez Ostos and Antonio Jesus Perez told AFP the ruling did not mean the border was open to irregular arrivals by sea, but set a different procedure from immediate returns at the border.
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez blamed the migrant rush on human trafficking gangs. Earlier witnesses and analysts said Moroccan controls appeared to ease before the influx, while a Moroccan source close to the case denied any relaxation at the land border crossing. No evidence has emerged of a decision taken at the highest level of the Moroccan state.
After the mass arrivals, Spain installed floating barriers between Ceuta and Morocco. Benitez and Perez said the barriers could legally enable returns at the border if they are considered elements of containment.
Madrigal warned that new online posts were calling for mass arrivals in August and said social media platforms bore responsibility for not rebutting content that encouraged the rush in time.
Update
Analysts told AFP that online disinformation helped drive the July 30 migrant surge into Ceuta.
A report by Chema Gil said an online campaign generated 11 million views from early July.
Technology company Golden Owl concluded with high confidence that the migrant rush was deliberately organised.
Spanish authorities said they had recovered the bodies of 78 migrants who drowned in the attempt, while Morocco said 11 people died on its side of the border.
Spain installed floating barriers between Ceuta and Morocco after the surge.
Source note: AFP news report published on 6 August 2026 at 14:18:34 UTC.
Update
Witnesses and analysts suggested an easing of Moroccan controls contributed to the mass movement toward Ceuta.
A Moroccan source close to the case denied any relaxation at the land border crossing.
Morocco's interior ministry blamed the surge on alleged misuse of social media and misleading information.
Analysts offered possible motives involving Spain, Western Sahara, Ceuta's disputed status and Morocco's relations with allies.
Source note: AFP news report published on 3 August 2026 at 16:47:02 UTC.
Update
Moroccan authorities continued on Saturday to remove people by coach from Fnideq to their homes.
Several Moroccan returnees said their attempts to reach Ceuta left them hungry, mistreated and disillusioned.
Returnees described rumours that the Ceuta border was open as a reason they travelled to Fnideq.
Witnesses interviewed by AFP said thousands of people were not stopped as they approached the frontier through wooded hills.
Ceuta's business confederation had advised shops and commercial establishments to remain closed until security could be guaranteed.
Source note: AFP news report published on 1 August 2026 at 15:57:52 UTC.
Update
Thousands of people turned back from Ceuta began boarding buses in Fnideq on Friday, with the operation continuing on Saturday.
A Moroccan source close to the operation said those sent back by Spain would be transported home directly by bus or via Tangier's railway station.
AFP journalists saw about 20 buses with 54 seats each leave late Friday, carrying roughly 1,000 people.
The Moroccan source said the Fnideq crossing and nearby hills were completely secure after Friday clashes.
AFP journalists reported police used water cannon and tear gas against migrants seeking to cross into Spain and arrested dozens.
Source note: AFP news report published on 1 August 2026 at 09:27:24 UTC.
Update
Spain's interior ministry said more than 48,000 migrants had returned to Morocco by Friday evening.
Officials said almost all of the roughly 60,000 migrants who entered Ceuta had left by Saturday.
France said it would increase its police presence at the Spanish border fivefold to 334 officers and gendarmes by Saturday.
Italy suspended its Schengen arrangement with Spain for one month from Saturday.
Spain said it installed a 500-metre pneumatic barrier near the border post.
Source note: AFP news report published on 1 August 2026 at 09:18:00 UTC.
Update
Madrid said more than 37,500 migrants have returned to Morocco from Ceuta.
Source note: AFP news report published on 31 July 2026 at 14:36:45 UTC.
Uncertainty notes
The identity of whoever started or coordinated the online rumours has not been determined.
Claims that the migrant rush was deliberately organised are attributed to Golden Owl's open-source investigation.
Earlier claims about eased Moroccan controls were disputed by a Moroccan source close to the case.
Source
AFP news report published on .